GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/25/2026, 8:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Los Angeles FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Mediumconfidence

Minnesota United FC are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Los Angeles FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Los Angeles FC hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 61.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the Major League Soccer, while Los Angeles FC holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Los Angeles FC

Probability

56.7%

Model confidence

13.7%

Los Angeles FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Minnesota United FCWWWWD

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Los Angeles FCDLLWD

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Minnesota United FCLos Angeles FC
37.0Attack61.4
53.7Defence66.7
44.4Form59.6
47.1Power61.5
0.77xG1.64
View match centre →