GGOALVIO

World · Leagues Cup · 8/5/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Minnesota United FC are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FC Juarez are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and fC Juarez hold a 50.0-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Leagues Cup, favouring a draw with 12.6% confidence, a 58% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

26.6%

Model confidence

12.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Minnesota United FCDDLDL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
FC JuarezLLLWL

GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Minnesota United FCFC Juarez
16.7Attack83.3
66.7Defence66.7
16.7Form100.0
36.5Power86.5
1.20xG1.68
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