GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 5/10/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Minnesota United FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Minnesota United FC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Austin are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Minnesota United FC hold a 9.9-point power-rating edge (47.1 v 37.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.9% in the Major League Soccer, while Minnesota United FC holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Minnesota United FC

Probability

50.8%

Model confidence

12.9%

Minnesota United FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Minnesota United FCWLWWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AustinWWLDL

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Minnesota United FCAustin
37.0Attack40.7
53.7Defence33.3
44.4Form31.5
47.1Power37.2
1.65xG1.01
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