Minijavs
Žalgiris II
COMPLETEDLithuania · 1 Lyga · 3/14/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Minija · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Minija are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Žalgiris II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Minija hold a 30.3-point power-rating edge (83.5 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.8% in the 1 Lyga, while Minija holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Minija
Probability
75.8%
Model confidence
75.8%
Minija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40