GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga de Expansión MX · 8/15/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Venados FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Mineros de Zacatecas are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Venados FC are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Venados FC hold a 13.8-point power-rating edge (60.9 v 74.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.6% in the Liga de Expansión MX, while Venados FC holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Venados FC

Probability

41.5%

Model confidence

10.6%

Venados FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Mineros de ZacatecasDWDDD

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Venados FCWDWDW

GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Mineros de ZacatecasVenados FC
88.9Attack77.8
33.3Defence66.7
55.6Form77.8
60.9Power74.7
1.62xG1.82
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