Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rio Verde · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Mineiros are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (DLDL), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Rio Verde are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Rio Verde hold a 46.6-point power-rating edge (33.8 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.1% in the Goiano - 2, while Rio Verde holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rio Verde
Probability
54.9%
Model confidence
15.1%
Rio Verde has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.75/1.50
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60