Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ADT · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Minas are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while ADT are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and ADT hold a 30.8-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 60.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the Copa De La Liga, while ADT holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
ADT
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
ADT has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20