GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 7/16/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Milsami Orhei · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Milsami Orhei are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Velež are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Velež hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 39.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while Milsami Orhei holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Milsami Orhei

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

Milsami Orhei has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Milsami OrheiLDLDD

GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.20/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
VeležDLLWD

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Milsami OrheiVelež
16.7Attack16.7
66.7Defence58.3
16.7Form33.3
36.5Power39.1
1.30xG1.03
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