Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Millwall · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Millwall are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Antwerp are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Antwerp hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (47.4 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Millwall holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Millwall
Probability
35.4%
Model confidence
14.8%
Millwall has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60