Millonariosvs
Deportes Tolima
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 4/24/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Millonarios are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Deportes Tolima are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportes Tolima hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the Primera A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20