GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 7/25/2026, 11:10:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Millonarios · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Millonarios are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Bucaramanga are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Millonarios hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (55.0 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.7% in the Primera A, while Millonarios holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Millonarios

Probability

37.7%

Model confidence

37.7%

Millonarios has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MillonariosLLWLD

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
BucaramangaLLLWL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
MillonariosBucaramanga
51.5Attack46.4
63.6Defence65.2
48.5Form44.9
55.0Power52.3
1.16xG0.92
View match centre →