Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Komárov · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Milevsko are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Komárov are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Komárov hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (43.2 v 52.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.9% in the 4. liga - Divizie A, while Komárov holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Komárov
Probability
49.0%
Model confidence
9.9%
Komárov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60