Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Midland · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Midland are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Almagro are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Midland hold an 11.3-point power-rating edge (57.5 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 28.8% in the Primera Nacional, while Midland holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Midland
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
28.8%
Midland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 0 · GA 4 · avg 0.00/0.80