Middlesbroughvs
Wrexham
COMPLETEDEngland · League Cup · 8/7/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Middlesbrough · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Middlesbrough are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Wrexham are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Middlesbrough hold a 56.7-point power-rating edge (80.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the League Cup, while Middlesbrough holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Middlesbrough
Probability
50.7%
Model confidence
12.8%
Middlesbrough has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00