Middlesbroughvs
Lincoln
SCHEDULEDEngland · Championship · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Middlesbrough · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Middlesbrough are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lincoln are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Middlesbrough hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the Championship, while Middlesbrough holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Middlesbrough
Probability
45.4%
Model confidence
13.3%
Middlesbrough has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20