GGOALVIO

England · Championship · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Middlesbrough · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Middlesbrough are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Lincoln are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Middlesbrough hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (53.4 v 50.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the Championship, while Middlesbrough holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Middlesbrough

Probability

45.4%

Model confidence

13.3%

Middlesbrough has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MiddlesbroughWLLDD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
LincolnWWWWD

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MiddlesbroughLincoln
51.4Attack50.0
55.1Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
53.4Power50.0
1.55xG1.14
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