Miami FCvs
Tampa Bay Rowdies
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 7/25/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tampa Bay Rowdies · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Miami FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tampa Bay Rowdies are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tampa Bay Rowdies hold a 24.9-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 68.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.6% in the USL Championship, while Tampa Bay Rowdies holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Probability
61.6%
Model confidence
61.6%
Tampa Bay Rowdies has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20