GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 7/25/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tampa Bay Rowdies · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Miami FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tampa Bay Rowdies are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tampa Bay Rowdies hold a 24.9-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 68.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.6% in the USL Championship, while Tampa Bay Rowdies holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tampa Bay Rowdies

Probability

61.6%

Model confidence

61.6%

Tampa Bay Rowdies has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Miami FCLWWDL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Tampa Bay RowdiesDWLWL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Miami FCTampa Bay Rowdies
40.0Attack63.2
46.7Defence66.7
36.7Form71.9
43.5Power68.3
0.79xG1.99
View match centre →