GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 6/24/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Orange County SC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Miami FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Orange County SC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Orange County SC hold a 16.1-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 59.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.9% in the USL Championship, while Orange County SC holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Orange County SC

Probability

47.9%

Model confidence

47.9%

Orange County SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Miami FCDLWLL

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Orange County SCWDLWL

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Miami FCOrange County SC
40.0Attack50.9
46.7Defence61.4
36.7Form59.6
43.5Power59.6
0.94xG1.56
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