Miami FCvsLouisville City

Miami FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Louisville City are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Louisville City hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 52.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.7% in the USL Championship, while Louisville City holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.