Miami FCvs
Indy Eleven
COMPLETEDUSA · USL Championship · 7/15/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Miami FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Indy Eleven are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Indy Eleven hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.6% in the USL Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
35.6%
Model confidence
35.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20