GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 8/1/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Detroit City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Miami FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Detroit City are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Detroit City hold a 15.7-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 59.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.9% in the USL Championship, while Detroit City holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Detroit City

Probability

49.9%

Model confidence

49.9%

Detroit City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Miami FCLLWWD

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Detroit CityLWWWD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Miami FCDetroit City
40.0Attack48.1
46.7Defence68.5
36.7Form57.4
43.5Power59.2
0.77xG1.47
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