Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Miami FC · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Miami FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Brooklyn are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Miami FC hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 34.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the USL Championship, while Miami FC holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Miami FC
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
Miami FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00