GGOALVIO

USA · USL Championship · 7/5/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Miami FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Miami FC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Birmingham Legion are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 43.5 against 45.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.9% in the USL Championship, while Miami FC holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Miami FC

Probability

34.3%

Model confidence

14.9%

Miami FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Miami FCLDLWL

GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Birmingham LegionLDDLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Miami FCBirmingham Legion
40.0Attack35.3
46.7Defence58.8
36.7Form33.3
43.5Power45.0
1.06xG1.03
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