Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bavois · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Meyrin are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Bavois are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bavois hold a 30.6-point power-rating edge (15.8 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Bavois holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bavois
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Bavois has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20