GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/3/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Metz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Metz are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while US Mondorf-les-bains are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Metz hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (67.6 v 61.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Metz holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Metz

Probability

48.7%

Model confidence

48.7%

Metz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MetzDLLDD

GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
US Mondorf-les-bainsLDWLW

GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 0.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
MetzUS Mondorf-les-bains
59.3Attack100.0
81.5Defence33.3
66.7Form66.7
67.6Power61.5
2.24xG1.12
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