Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Metz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Metz are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sochaux are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Metz hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (67.6 v 60.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Metz holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Metz
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Metz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20