Metzvs
Fortuna Sittard
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/25/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Metz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Metz are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Fortuna Sittard are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Metz hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (67.6 v 52.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Metz holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Metz
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Metz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60