GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/25/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Metz · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Metz are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Fortuna Sittard are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Metz hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (67.6 v 52.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Metz holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Metz

Probability

49.1%

Model confidence

49.1%

Metz has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MetzWWWDL

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Fortuna SittardLWWLW

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
MetzFortuna Sittard
59.3Attack62.5
81.5Defence45.8
66.7Form50.0
67.6Power52.2
2.18xG1.03
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