GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 7/25/2026, 9:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

MetroStars · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

MetroStars are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while West Adelaide are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and MetroStars hold a 22.5-point power-rating edge (67.5 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.2% in the South Australia NPL, while MetroStars holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

MetroStars

Probability

79.2%

Model confidence

79.2%

MetroStars has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MetroStarsLWWLW

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
West AdelaideDLDDL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MetroStarsWest Adelaide
80.3Attack60.6
65.2Defence33.3
66.7Form37.9
67.5Power44.9
3.79xG1.11
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