GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 3/7/2026, 8:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

MetroStars · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

MetroStars are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Playford City Patriots are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and MetroStars hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (67.5 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.7% in the South Australia NPL, while MetroStars holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

MetroStars

Probability

62.7%

Model confidence

62.7%

MetroStars has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MetroStarsWWLWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Playford City PatriotsWLLLD

GF 12 · GA 14 · avg 2.40/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
MetroStarsPlayford City Patriots
80.3Attack63.6
65.2Defence53.0
66.7Form53.0
67.5Power56.2
2.58xG1.21
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