MetroStarsvs
Croydon Kings
COMPLETEDAustralia · South Australia NPL · 8/15/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MetroStars · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
MetroStars are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Croydon Kings are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and MetroStars hold a 13.5-point power-rating edge (66.4 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.6% in the South Australia NPL, while MetroStars holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
MetroStars
Probability
71.3%
Model confidence
8.6%
MetroStars has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00