GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 8/1/2026, 9:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

MetroStars · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

MetroStars are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Adelaide United II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and MetroStars hold an 18.5-point power-rating edge (67.5 v 48.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.0% in the South Australia NPL, while MetroStars holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

MetroStars

Probability

71.0%

Model confidence

71.0%

MetroStars has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MetroStarsLLWWL

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Adelaide United IILWDLD

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MetroStarsAdelaide United II
80.3Attack50.0
65.2Defence51.5
66.7Form43.9
67.5Power48.9
2.72xG0.93
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