MetroStarsvs
Adelaide United II
COMPLETEDAustralia · South Australia NPL · 8/1/2026, 9:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MetroStars · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
MetroStars are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Adelaide United II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and MetroStars hold an 18.5-point power-rating edge (67.5 v 48.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 71.0% in the South Australia NPL, while MetroStars holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
MetroStars
Probability
71.0%
Model confidence
71.0%
MetroStars has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40