GGOALVIO

Australia · South Australia NPL · 5/16/2026, 7:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

MetroStars · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

MetroStars are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 3.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Adelaide Comets are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and MetroStars hold a 29.0-point power-rating edge (67.5 v 38.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.2% in the South Australia NPL, while MetroStars holds the strongest overall chance at 83% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

MetroStars

Probability

83.2%

Model confidence

83.2%

MetroStars has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MetroStarsWDWDW

GF 19 · GA 4 · avg 3.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Adelaide CometsWLLDL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
MetroStarsAdelaide Comets
80.3Attack37.9
65.2Defence42.4
66.7Form30.3
67.5Power38.5
3.33xG0.68
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