GGOALVIO

Venezuela · Primera División · 5/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Metropolitanos FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Metropolitanos FC are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Estudiantes de Merida FC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Metropolitanos FC hold a 14.3-point power-rating edge (60.9 v 46.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.7% in the Primera División, while Metropolitanos FC holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Metropolitanos FC

Probability

52.9%

Model confidence

17.7%

Metropolitanos FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Metropolitanos FCDWWDL

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 0.60/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Estudiantes de Merida FCWLWWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Metropolitanos FCEstudiantes de Merida FC
42.4Attack39.4
69.7Defence53.0
63.6Form40.9
60.9Power46.6
1.34xG0.62
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