GGOALVIO

Ukraine · Druha Liga · 8/15/2026, 9:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Metalurh Zaporizhya · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

Metalurh Zaporizhya are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLW), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Penuel are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Metalurh Zaporizhya hold a 21.2-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 28.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the Druha Liga, while Metalurh Zaporizhya holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Metalurh Zaporizhya

Probability

72.0%

Model confidence

12.8%

Metalurh Zaporizhya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Metalurh ZaporizhyaDLDLW

GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
PenuelLLLWW

GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Metalurh ZaporizhyaPenuel
50.0Attack30.0
50.0Defence28.9
50.0Form18.9
50.0Power28.8
2.39xG0.75
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