Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Metalourg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Metalourg are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FarDu are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Metalourg hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (63.2 v 54.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.3% in the Pro League A, while Metalourg holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Metalourg
Probability
65.3%
Model confidence
65.3%
Metalourg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60