GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 3 · 3/28/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Metallurg Lipetsk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Metallurg Lipetsk are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Salyut-Belgorod are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 63.7 against 64.2. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the Second League - Group 3, while Metallurg Lipetsk holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Metallurg Lipetsk

Probability

36.1%

Model confidence

13.6%

Metallurg Lipetsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Metallurg LipetskLWLLL

GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Salyut-BelgorodWLWWW

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Metallurg LipetskSalyut-Belgorod
66.7Attack63.2
61.4Defence68.4
61.4Form63.2
63.7Power64.2
1.35xG1.34
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