Metallurg Lipetskvs
Ryazan
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 3 · 8/8/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Metallurg Lipetsk are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ryazan are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and metallurg Lipetsk hold a 5.6-point power-rating edge (65.9 v 60.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Second League - Group 3, favouring a draw with 14.7% confidence, a 44% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.1%
Model confidence
14.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80