Metallurg Lipetskvs
Rodina Moskva III
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 3 · 6/27/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Metallurg Lipetsk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Metallurg Lipetsk are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Rodina Moskva III are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Metallurg Lipetsk hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (63.7 v 47.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.6% in the Second League - Group 3, while Metallurg Lipetsk holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Metallurg Lipetsk
Probability
62.6%
Model confidence
62.6%
Metallurg Lipetsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60