GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 3 · 6/27/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Metallurg Lipetsk · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Metallurg Lipetsk are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Rodina Moskva III are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Metallurg Lipetsk hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (63.7 v 47.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.6% in the Second League - Group 3, while Metallurg Lipetsk holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Metallurg Lipetsk

Probability

62.6%

Model confidence

62.6%

Metallurg Lipetsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Metallurg LipetskLWWDW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Rodina Moskva IIIWDWWL

GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Metallurg LipetskRodina Moskva III
66.7Attack61.4
61.4Defence42.1
61.4Form42.1
63.7Power47.1
2.61xG1.24
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