GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 3 · 5/8/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FK Spartak Tambov · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Metallurg Lipetsk are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while FK Spartak Tambov are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and FK Spartak Tambov hold an 11.6-point power-rating edge (63.7 v 75.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.4% in the Second League - Group 3, while FK Spartak Tambov holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FK Spartak Tambov

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

14.4%

FK Spartak Tambov has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Metallurg LipetskWLWWD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
FK Spartak TambovWDWWW

GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Metallurg LipetskFK Spartak Tambov
66.7Attack57.9
61.4Defence82.5
61.4Form82.5
63.7Power75.3
1.11xG1.28
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