Metallurg Lipetskvs
Arsenal Tula II
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 3 · 6/6/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Metallurg Lipetsk · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Metallurg Lipetsk are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWDWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Arsenal Tula II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Metallurg Lipetsk hold a 34.0-point power-rating edge (63.7 v 29.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.0% in the Second League - Group 3, while Metallurg Lipetsk holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Metallurg Lipetsk
Probability
86.0%
Model confidence
86.0%
Metallurg Lipetsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20