Metalist 1925 Kharkivvs
Shakhtar Donetsk
COMPLETEDUkraine · Premier League · 8/16/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Shakhtar Donetsk · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Shakhtar Donetsk are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Shakhtar Donetsk hold a 38.8-point power-rating edge (35.7 v 74.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.8% in the Premier League, while Shakhtar Donetsk holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Shakhtar Donetsk
Probability
79.8%
Model confidence
79.8%
Shakhtar Donetsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40