Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Meshakhte · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Meshakhte are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while FC Urartu are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Meshakhte hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (34.2 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Meshakhte holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Meshakhte
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
11.4%
Meshakhte has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80