Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nebitci · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Merw are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Nebitci are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Nebitci hold a 9.0-point power-rating edge (27.0 v 35.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the Ýokary Liga, while Nebitci holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nebitci
Probability
36.1%
Model confidence
36.1%
Nebitci has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 16 · avg 0.60/3.20
GF 3 · GA 12 · avg 0.60/2.40