MerwvsKöpetdag Aşgabat

Merw are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Köpetdag Aşgabat are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Köpetdag Aşgabat hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (27.0 v 30.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Ýokary Liga, while Merw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.