Merthyr TownvsSwansea

Merthyr Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Swansea are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Swansea hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Swansea holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.