GGOALVIO

Merthyr Town logoMerthyr TownvsHednesford Town logoHednesford Town

COMPLETED

England · National League - North · 8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Merthyr Town are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Hednesford Town are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 73.3-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the National League - North, favouring a draw with 12.1% confidence, a 52% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

25.3%

Model confidence

12.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Merthyr TownLLWLL

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Hednesford TownDWDWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Merthyr TownHednesford Town
66.7Attack0.0
100.0Defence33.3
100.0Form0.0
88.7Power15.3
1.81xG0.94
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