Merthyr TownvsForest Green

Merthyr Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Forest Green are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Forest Green hold a 30.0-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 75.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Forest Green holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.