GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/21/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Merthyr Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Briton Ferry are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

42.6%

Model confidence

42.6%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Merthyr TownLDWLL

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Briton FerryWLWWL

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Merthyr TownBriton Ferry
66.7Attack33.3
33.3Defence33.3
33.3Form0.0
45.3Power23.7
2.10xG1.46
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