Merthyr Townvs
Briton Ferry
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/21/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Merthyr Town are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Briton Ferry are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Merthyr Town hold a 21.7-point power-rating edge (45.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Merthyr Town
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80