GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 8/8/2026, 3:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Lowconfidence

Merelbeke are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while K. Lierse S.K. are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and merelbeke hold a 4.7-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Friendlies Clubs, favouring a draw with 10.0% confidence, a 69% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

24.0%

Model confidence

10.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

MerelbekeLLWWW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
K. Lierse S.K.DWLDL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
MerelbekeK. Lierse S.K.
50.0Attack66.7
50.0Defence33.3
50.0Form33.3
50.0Power45.3
1.97xG1.60
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