Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gent · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Merelbeke are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Gent are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Gent hold a 38.3-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 53.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.7% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Gent holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gent
Probability
48.7%
Model confidence
48.7%
Gent has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60