Mercedesvs
Estrella Del Sur
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 7/31/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Mercedes are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Estrella Del Sur are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 54.2 against 53.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.5% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
46.6%
Model confidence
35.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60